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Even though the redistribution helped Labor, they could be in trouble here. If not this time, the election after it may be won by the Libs for a single term.
Would probably be good for Shortland to go marginal; I can’t think of any spoils it’s ever gotten from the Labor Party in government.
This will probably flip in 2028. Labor should hold this year due to the marginand the fact the swing won’t be that large but if Labor remain govt in minority along with cost of living crisis expected to continue and the offshore wind issue should be enough to topple conroy here.
I agree that Shortland is trending to a marginal seat. The 2PP margin is lower than what it was at the lowpoint of 2013.
There’s gentrification and suburban sprawl in the northern end of the electorate and Lake Macquarie Council. More uni-educated, young professionals and first home buyers moving in as well as CALD people. On the flip side, the rest of the electorate is much older, more established and working-class. Such areas are trending Liberal.
the liberal party have preslected Emma King as their candidate here they have also chosen a candidate for Newcastle but lets face it they arent wining that